Recent Publications

Grillakis, Manolis, Apostolos Voulgarakis, Anastasios Rovithakis, Konstantinos D. Seiradakis, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Robert D. Field, Matthew Kasoar, Athanasios Papadopoulos, and Mihalis Lazaridis. "Climate drivers of global wildfire burned area." Environmental Research Letters 17, no. 4 (2022): 045021.


Rovithakis, Anastasios, Manolis G. Grillakis, Konstantinos D. Seiradakis, Christos Giannakopoulos, Anna Karali, Robert Field, Mihalis Lazaridis, and Apostolos Voulgarakis. "Future climate change impact on wildfire danger over the Mediterranean: the case of Greece." Environmental Research Letters 17, no. 4 (2022): 045022.


Thomas, C., Voulgarakis, A., Lim, G., Haigh, J., and Nowack, P. (2021), An unsupervised learning approach to identifying blocking events: the case of European summer, Weather Clim. Dynam., 2(3), 581-608,


Mansfield, L., Nowack, P., Kasoar, M., Everitt, R. G., W. J. Collings, and A. Voulgarakis (2020), Predicting global patterns of long-term climate change from short-term simulations using machine learning, npj Clim. &. Atmospheric Sci., 3, 44,


Kuhn-Régnier, A., Voulgarakis, A., Nowack, P., Forkel, M., Prentice, I. C., and Harrison, S. P. (2020), Quantifying the Importance of Antecedent Fuel-Related Vegetation Properties for Burnt Area using Random Forests, Biogeosciences, 18(12), 3861-3879,


Teixeira, J. C., Folberth, G., O'Connor, F. M., Unger, N., and Voulgarakis, A. (2020), Coupling interactive fire with atmospheric composition and climate in the UK Earth System Model,14, 6515-6539, Geosci. Model Dev.,


Tang, T., Shindell, D., Zhang, Y., Voulgarakis, A., Lamarque, J.-F., Myhre, G., Faluvegi, G., Samset, B., Andrews, T., Olivié, D., Takemura, T., and Lee, X., Distinct surface response to black carbon aerosols (2021), Distinct surface response to black carbon aerosols, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 13797–13809,


Hodnebrog, Ø. et al. (incl. Voulgarakis, A.) (2020), The effect of rapid adjustments to halocarbons and N2O on radiative forcing, npj Clim Atmos Sci, 3, 43,


Qu, Y., Voulgarakis, A., Wang, T., Kasoar, M., Wells, C., Yuan, C., Varma, S., and Mansfield, L. (2021), A study of the effect of aerosols on surface ozone through meteorology feedbacks over China, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 5705–5718,


Hantson, S., et al. (incl. Mangeon, S. and Voulgarakis, A.)  (2020), Quantitative assessment of fire and vegetation properties in simulations with fire-enabled vegetation models from the Fire Model Intercomparison Project, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 3299–3318,


Tang, T., Shindell, D., Zhang, Y., Voulgarakis, A., Lamarque, J.-F., Myhre, G., Stjern, C. W., Faluvegi, G., and Samset, B. H. (2020), Response of surface shortwave cloud radiative effect to greenhouse gases and aerosols and its impact on summer maximum temperature, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 8251–8266,


Wild, O., Voulgarakis, A., O'Connor, F., Lamarque, J.-F., Ryan, E. M., and Lee, L. (2020), Global sensitivity analysis of chemistry–climate model budgets of tropospheric ozone and OH: exploring model diversity, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4047–4058,


Saunois, M., et al. (incl. Voulgarakis, A.) (2020), The Global Methane Budget 2000–2017, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 1561–1623,


Lasslop, G., Coppola, A. I., Voulgarakis, A., Yue, C., and Veraverbeke, S. (2019), Influence of Fire on the Carbon Cycle and Climate, Current Climate Change Reports, 5, 112–123,


Scannell, C., Booth, B. B., Dunstone, N. J., Rowell, D. P., Bernie, D. J., Kasoar, M., Voulgarakis, A., Wilcox, L. J., Acosta Navarro, J. C., Seland, O., and Paynter, D. J. (2019), The Influence of Remote Aerosol Forcing from Industrialized Economies on the Future Evolution of East and West African Rainfall, J. Climate, 32 (23): 8335–8354, 


Sillmann, J., Stjern, C. W., Myhre, G., Samset, B. H., Hodnebrog, Ø, Boucher, O., Forster, P. M., Kirkevåg, A., Lamarque, J.-F., Olivié, D., Shindell, D., Voulgarakis, A., and Zwiers, F. W., Extreme wet and dry conditions affected differently by greenhouse gases and aerosols (2019), npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2, 24,


T. Tang, D. Shindell, G. Faluvegi, G. Myhre, D. Olivié, A. Voulgarakis, M. Kasoar, T. Andrews, O. Boucher, P.M. Forster, Ø. Hodnebrog, T. Iversen, A. Kirkevåg, J.‐F. Lamarque, T. Richardson, B.H. Samset, C.W. Stjern, T. Takemura, and C. Smith (2019), Comparison of Effective Radiative Forcing Calculations Using Multiple Methods, Drivers, and Models, J. Geophys. Res., 124(8), 4382-4394,


Stjern, C. W., Lund, M. T., Samset, B. H., Myhre, G., Forster, P. M., Andrews, T., Boucher, O., Faluvegi, G., Fläschner, D., Iversen, T., Kasoar, M., Kharin, V., Kirkevåg, A., Lamarque, J.-F., Olivié, D., Richardson, T., Sand, M., Shawki, D., Shindell, D. T., Smith C. J., Takemura, T., and A. Voulgarakis (2019). Arctic amplification response to individual climate drivers. J. Geophys. Res-Atmospheres, 124, 6698– 6717.


Richardson, T. B., P.M. Forster, C.J. Smith, A.C. Maycock, T. Wood, T. Andrews, O. Boucher, G. Faluvegi, D. Fläschner, Ø. Hodnebrog, M. Kasoar, A. Kirkevåg, J.‐F. Lamarque, J. Mülmenstädt, G. Myhre, D. Olivié, R.W. Portmann, B.H. Samset, D. Shawki*, D. Shindell, P. Stier, T. Takemura, A. Voulgarakis, D. Watson‐Parris (2019), Efficacy of climate forcings in PDRMIP models, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmospheres, 124, 12,824–12,844,


Hodnebrog, Ø., Myhre, G., Samset, B. H., Alterskjær, K., Andrews, T., Boucher, O., Faluvegi, G., Fläschner, D., Forster, P. M., Kasoar, M., Kirkevåg, A., Lamarque, J.-F., Olivié, D., Richardson, T. B., Shawki, D., Shindell, D., Shine, K. P., Stier, P., Takemura, T., Voulgarakis, A., and Watson-Parris, D. (2019), Water vapour adjustments and responses differ between climate drivers, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 12887–12899,


Thiery BW, Lange S, Rogelj J, Schleussner C-F, Gudmundsson L, Seneviratne SI, Andrijevic M, Frieler K, Emanuel K, Geiger T, Bresch DN, Zhao F, Willner SN, Büchner M, Volkholz J, Bauer N, Chang J, Ciais P, Dury M, François L, Grillakis M, Gosling SN, Hanasaki N, Hickler T, Huber V, Ito A, Jägermeyr J, Khabarov N, Koutroulis A, Liu W, Lutz W, Mengel M, Müller C, Ostberg S, Reyer CPO, Stacke T, Wada Y. Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes. Science (80- ) [Internet]. American Association for the Advancement of Science; 2021 Sep 26 [cited 2021 Sep 27]; Available from: 


Gudmundsson L., H. X. Do, Simon N. Gosling, M. G. Grillakis, A. G. Koutroulis, M. Leonard, J. Lui, H. M. Schmied, L. Papadimitriou, Y. Pokhrel, J. Schewe, S. I. Seneviratne, W. Thiery, S. Westra, X. Zhang, F. Zhao. (2021). Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change. Science Vol. 371, 6534, pp. 1159-1162, doi:10.1126/science.aba3996. (IF: 41.8)
3.    Pokhrel, Y., Felfelani, F., Satoh, Y., Boulange, J., Burek, P., Gädeke, A., Gerten, D., Gosling, S.N., Grillakis, M., Gudmundsson, L., Hanasaki, N., Kim, H., Koutroulis, A., Liu, J., Papadimitriou, L., Schewe, J., Müller Schmied, H., Stacke, T., Telteu, C.-E., Thiery, W., Veldkamp, T., Zhao, F., Wada, Y., 2021. Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change. Nature Climate  Change.


Satoh Y, Shiogama H, Hanasaki N, Pokhrel Y, Boulange JES, Burek P, Gosling SN, Grillakis M, Koutroulis A, Schmied HM, Thiery W, Yokohata T. A quantitative evaluation of the issue of drought definition: a source of disagreement in future drought assessments. Environ Res Lett [Internet]. IOP Publishing; 2021.

Telteu, C.-E., Müller Schmied, H., Thiery, W., Leng, G., Burek, P., Liu, X., Boulange, J. E. S., Andersen, L. S., Grillakis, M., Gosling, S. N., Satoh, Y., Rakovec, O., Stacke, T., Chang, J., Wanders, N., Shah, H. L., Trautmann, T., Mao, G., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Samaniego, L., Wada, Y., Mishra, V., Liu, J., Döll, P., Zhao, F., Gädeke, A., Rabin, S. S., and Herz, F.: Understanding each other's models: an introduction and a standard representation of 16 global water models to support intercomparison, improvement, and communication, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 3843–3878,

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Alexakis, D.D., Polykretis, C., Daliakopoulos, I.N., 2021. Regionalizing Root‐Zone Soil Moisture Estimates From ESA CCI Soil Water Index Using Machine Learning and Information on Soil, Vegetation, and Climate. Water Resour. Res. 57, e2020WR029249.

Reinecke, R., Müller Schmied, H., Trautmann, T., Andersen, L. S., Burek, P., Flörke, M., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Yusuke, S., and Döll, P.: Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: a global-scale multi-model ensemble study, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 787–810,

Tramblay, Y., Koutroulis, A., Samaniego, L., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Volaire, F., Boone, A., Le Page, M., Llasat, M. C., Albergel, C., Burak, S., Cailleret, M., Kalin, K. C., Davi, H., Dupuy, J.-L., Greve, P., Grillakis, M., Jarlan, L., Martin-StPaul, N., Vilalta, J. M., … Polcher, J. (2020). Challenges for drought assessment in the Mediterranean region under future climate scenarios. Earth-Science Reviews, 103348.

Grillakis, M.G.; Polykretis, C.; Alexakis, D.D. Past and projected climate change impacts on rainfall erosivity: Advancing our knowledge for the eastern Mediterranean island of Crete. CATENA. 193, 2020, 104625.

Grillakis, M.G., 2019. Increase in severe and extreme soil moisture droughts for Europe under climate change. Science of The Total Environment. 660, 1245-1255,

P V Nielsen, C Zhang, C T Kjær, D Leiria, H Nørholm, T Ramstad, A Rovithakis and R L Jensen “A benchmark test for room air distribution: the backward facing step flow”, IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, Volume 609